Saturday, March 20, 2021

Quantitative Understanding of the Trickle-Down Hypothesis

Quantitative Understanding of the Trickle-Down Hypothesis (Amazon Kindle)


We obtained quantitative result that is the exact opposite of the trickle-down hypothesis.

For studying trickle-down, we performed an estimation of the circulation of the money flow only between business and households. Business is divided into small, middle, and large companies, and households are divided into low-, middle-, and high-income earners. In this estimation, we obtained numbers of small and middle companies that a high-income earner needs for trickle-down. Free parameters of our estimation are the income ratio and the number ratio of the low-, middle-, and high-income earners in a large company.

As a result, the larger the income ratio is, the more companies the high-income earner needs for trickle-down. This makes trickle-down difficult in the modern economy. This tendency quantitatively denies the trickle-down hypothesis that `if the wealthy become more rich, people obtain benefit via consumption by the wealthy.'

This table shows numbers of the middle and small companies to which the high- and middle-income earners transfer their incomes. This income transfer is trickle-down.

In this table, (a1: a2: a3) indicates the income ratio of the high-, middle-, and low-income earners, and (c1: c2: c3) indicates the number ratio of the high-, middle-, and low-income earners in a large company. A criterion for judging the magnitude of these numbers is 104 days, the number of days per year on Saturday and Sunday.


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Table of Contents


Chapter 1 Introduction


Chapter 2 Estimation

 2.1 Outline of our estimation

 2.2 An example of estimation

 2.3 Parameter survey

 2.4 Directors of real large companies


Chapter 3 Discussion

 3.1 Dysfunction of trickle-down

  3.1.1 Ideal, time, and reality

  3.1.2 Temporal limit

  3.1.3 A psychological barrier

  3.1.4 High-income earners = vulnerable consumers

 3.2 Improvement of our estimation model

  3.2.1 Introduction

  3.2.2 Other economic agents

  3.2.3 Diversification of our company model

 3.3 The analogy of a glass tower and wine

 3.4 Real money flow


Chapter 4 Summary


References

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